Behind the Bark

You're spending money on marketing. But do you actually know what's working?

Most tree service owners I talk to can tell me what they spent last month on Google Ads or Facebook. But when I ask them their cost per lead by channel, or their breakeven CPC, I get blank stares.

If you're not tracking the right metrics, you're flying blind. And blind pilots crash.

The difference between a tree service doing $500K and one doing $2M isn't just more marketing spend. It's knowing exactly which dollars are working and which ones are burning a hole in your wallet.

Today, I'm walking you through 9 dashboard metrics that separate guesswork from growth.

Limb of the Week

The Metrics That Actually Matter

If this feels like a lot, don't panic. Start with three numbers: cost per lead, cost per job, and close rate by channel. Layer the rest in later.

Here's the full breakdown and why each one matters:

Lead Metrics:

  • Number of Leads - Your raw volume. This tells you if you're generating enough opportunities in the first place.

  • Leads by Ad Channel - Are most coming from Google? Facebook? Door hangers? You need to know the source.

  • Cost Per Lead - Your overall average. This is your baseline.

  • Cost Per Lead by Ad Channel - Here's where it gets interesting. Maybe Google gives you leads at $45 each, while Facebook is $120. Now you need to see how the cost per job and the close % back out to determine if you need to optimize FB or not.

Job Metrics:

  • Number of Jobs - Leads mean nothing if they don't convert to actual work.

  • Cost Per Job - This is the real number. If you spend $500 in marketing and book one $3,000 job, your cost per job is $500. Notice that cost per job doesn't care what you charged - just what you spent to land it.

  • Cost Per Job Per Channel - This tells you which channels actually close, not just which ones generate tire kickers.

Decision-Making Metrics:

  • Breakeven ROAS (Return on Ad Spend) - This tells you the minimum return you need to just break even. If your profit margin before marketing is 30%, you need roughly a 3.3x ROAS on that channel (blended account total, not per campaign) to break even. Anything above that is profit.

  • Breakeven CPC (Cost Per Click) - Combined with your conversion rates, this shows you the maximum you can pay per click and still be profitable.
    Example: If 1 in 5 clicks becomes a lead, and 1 in 3 leads becomes a job, that's 1 job per 15 clicks. If you can afford $300 per job, that means you can pay up to $20 per click ($300 ÷ 15) and still be okay.

Here's why this matters: Let's say you're getting leads from Google at $50 each and Facebook at $80 each. You might think Google is winning.

But when you look at cost per job, you realize Google leads close at 20% while Facebook leads close at 45%. Suddenly, Facebook's cost per job of about $180 beats Google's $250.

Without tracking both metrics, you'd be doubling down on the wrong channel.

Raw numbers are good. Trends are better.

You should be looking at:

  • Year over Year - Is February 2025 better than February 2024? By how much? This removes seasonal noise.

  • Month over Month - Are you trending up or down? Is that seasonal or a real problem?

  • Moving Averages (30-day, 60-day, 90-day) - This smooths out the noise from random spikes and dips, giving you a clear picture of your actual trajectory.

When you track trends, you can spot problems early. If your cost per lead has been creeping up 5% per month for three months, you have a problem. Catch it at month two instead of month six when you've burned around an extra $10K.

The Real Power: Knowing How Much to Scale

Once you know these numbers, you can make real business decisions.

If your average job is worth $2,500 and your profit margin is 35%, that's $875 in profit per job. If your cost per job from Google is $200, you're making $675 per job in profit.

Now you know: you could afford to push cost per job all the way up to $875 and still break even. You've got $675 of room to scale while still making money on every job.

But most owners set a lower target—say $400–$500—so they're growing and still putting real cash in their pocket.

That means you can increase your Google budget until your cost per job hits your target or your lead volume maxes out. Most owners never do this because they don't know their numbers.

They're scared to spend more because they're operating on gut feel instead of data. Meanwhile, their competitor who knows these metrics is buying up all the market share.

Sawdust

Tools Worth Checking Out:

Most tree service owners try to track this stuff in Excel or Google Sheets. That works until it doesn't. If you're serious about this, look into:

  • A proper CRM that tracks source attribution (where each lead came from)

  • Dashboard software that pulls from your ad platforms and CRM

  • Monthly scorecard reviews

The goal isn't fancy software. It's having the right numbers in front of you when you need to make decisions.

Kickback

Can we talk about "marketing gurus" for a second?

I see so many tree service owners getting sold on "we'll get you more leads" by agencies who have no idea what happens after the lead comes in.

They'll brag about generating 50 leads a month. Sounds great. Until you realize you only closed 3 of them and spent $4,000 to book $6,000 in work.

More leads isn't the goal. More profitable jobs from the leads is the goal.

Any agency that isn't asking about your conversion rates, average job values, and profit margins is selling you snake oil. They're optimizing for the wrong metric.

If someone's managing your marketing and they can't tell you your ballpark cost per job by channel they're running for you, fire them. Today.

You're in business to make money, not to collect leads.

P.S. If you want help building a simple dashboard for this, click reply and say ‘numbers’ and we can talk.

Written by Jacob Hastings
Head of Growth & Client Strategy at Growth Ring Media

The Backcut

Reply

or to participate

Keep Reading

No posts found